How to Use Historical Project Data To Improve Scoping Accuracy for Service Providers">
Project Management

How to Use Historical Project Data To Improve Scoping Accuracy for Service Providers

Jon Scott

Jon Scott

Jon Scott co-founded ScopeStack, a B2B SaaS solution that simplifies the scoping and pricing of IT services for organizations worldwide. With a background in both business and technology, Jon is dedicated to providing IT service providers with an efficient, data-driven platform that streamlines operations and drives business growth. Before starting ScopeStack, Jon worked as a Managing Solution Architect at Dimension Data, where he recognized the challenges organizations faced in scoping and pricing IT services. Along with his work at ScopeStack, Jon is an active community member who enjoys giving back and mentoring future technology professionals. He lives in the Upstate of South Carolina with his beautiful wife and two adorable children.

5 min read

A persistent problem across all levels and sizes of IT solutions businesses is that experience lives in people’s heads or is buried in past projects, rather than in a reusable system. Chances are, you have years of valuable historical data sitting in your tools—time entries, closed tickets, old SOWs, and delivery notes. The problem isn’t access, but translation. It’s about taking all the historical project data and actually using it. 

Some organizations never invest in a system that uses all the rich data they collect to improve future projects and estimates. If you harness this wealth of information, it can set your company apart from the competition, deliver exceptional client satisfaction, and improve organizational efficiency. 

What “historical project data” actually looks like

Historical project data is the record of what actually happened during past projects, including both quantitative and qualitative information. Think of it as your company’s institutional memory, except instead of living in someone’s head, it’s documented and accessible. 

For IT service providers, this data is valuable because it sets KPIs, establishes growth goals, and shows where scoping errors and incorrect planning compound into margin loss, missed deadlines, or strained client relationships.

For IT solutions providers, MSPs, and VARs, historical data typically includes: 

  • Hours and effort
      • Total hours by role (engineer, architect, PM)
      • Billable vs. non-billable time
      • Planned hours vs. actual hours
  • Timelines and milestones
      • Estimated duration vs. actual duration
      • Time lost to client delays or approvals
      • When key phases wrapped
  • Risks and blockers
      • Common causes of delays (access issues, legacy systems)
      • Scope creep patterns
      • Technical debt discoveries
      • Change order frequency
      • Vendor delays
  • Technical variables
      • Tech stack (cloud provider, security tools, legacy platforms)
      • Integration complexity
      • Environment size (users, endpoints, sites)
  • Resource mix
    • Skill level required vs. assumed
    • Ratio of senior to junior resources
    • Bottlenecks caused by scarce expertise

Where this data typically lives 

Most IT solutions companies already collect this data; it is just scattered across platforms and in underutilized analytics tabs. When not synthesized, great starting places to find this data are:

  • PSA and ticketing systems
    • Where time entries live, such as ConnectWise and Autotask. 
  • Project management tools 
    • Software containing task histories and status updates, like Asana, Monday, and Jira
  • SOWs and proposals
    • If not using a CPQ, these can exist in PDFs, across emails, and shared drives 
  • Internal notes
    • Project retrospectives in internal wikis, Slack threads, and documentation repos 
  • CRMs
    • Platforms that store original client, scope, and budget data, like Salesforce and HubSpot 

The challenge isn’t data volume—it’s data cohesion. When historical data isn’t structured or centralized, it becomes nearly impossible to reuse during pre-sales.

Key metrics service providers should track

Tracking everything would lead to confusion, too much data to sift through, and make it tough to determine what moves the needle. Some data is helpful for operations, but irrelevant for estimation. When trying to improve scoping, key metrics include: 

1. Estimate variance 

Track the difference between estimated and actual hours. You can break this down further by tracking it by project type, client type, and service category to reveal more granular information. Since IT solutions projects involve significant variability, identifying patterns across projects is helpful. 

2. Scope changes

Identifying the amount of additional work added after the SOW is signed (scope creep and change orders) will also indicate whether your initial scoping process needs improvement. 

3. Resource utilization rates 

If your estimates assume 100% productivity but reality shows your team logs only 70% billable time after meetings, task switching, and admin work, then your scope’s timeline will improve with this knowledge. 

4. Technology complexity multipliers

Tracking complexity factors enables more accurate estimates when they recur. For example, a basic network refresh versus one involving legacy systems, custom integrations, and zero-downtime requirements will have different timelines. 

5. Revision cycles 

Measure time spent fixing misconfigurations or misunderstood requirements. Additionally, include how many rounds of changes a project needs before going live. This is particularly important for projects with multiple stakeholders, where revision cycles drag out and affect milestones and estimates. 

How to analyze historical data for better scoping

Collecting data is just step one. Historical project data becomes useful when raw numbers are translated into actionable insights. 

1. Start with similar project clusters 

To ensure you’re comparing similar projects, start by segmenting the data. This typically involves grouping projects by type, size, and client maturity. Consider projects with higher technical complexity and review how this affects estimates compared to more straightforward projects. 

2. Calculate variance rates

For each project segment, determine your average variance between estimated and actual delivery. If you consistently have a multiplier, like your Azure infrastructure buildouts always running 1.3x your estimate, then determine the root cause and adjust future quotes accordingly. 

3. Identify pattern breakers

Review if anything separates projects that came in on budget from those that didn’t. For example, maybe projects kicked off in Q4 face more delays than Q2 due to longer revision cycles. 

Reviewing your project data with a keen eye can help uncover insights and identify consistent under- or overestimates. 

How to apply insights to improve scoping accuracy

Once you’ve tracked and analyzed the data, it is time to apply your insights to the scoping process

Build estimation templates 

Design them based on actual performance, not wishful thinking. If your historical data shows network assessments averaging 18 hours, including documentation and client interviews, don’t quote 12 hours because it “should” be faster. 

Rather than estimating from scratch, you can use your historical ranges to inform your effort ranges for different projects. 

Create complexity scoring systems

IT solutions estimates can vary significantly across similar projects due to differences in technical complexity and starting points. It’s crucial to allocate more hours to projects with greater requirements, dependencies, and contingencies. 

If you want a starting point for assessing different complexities, you can use a framework where you assign a 1-5 for key variables:

  • Client technical maturity
  • Existing infrastructure age
  • Stakeholder availability
  • Regulatory requirements
  • Integration complexity 

A “5” on infrastructure age might add 25% to baseline hours based on past projects with similar conditions. Your historical data determines the specific multiplier and time additions. 

Adjust pricing and buffers intentionally

It is always better to underpromise and overdeliver, so don’t hesitate to buffer an estimate when realism dictates it. Historical variance often reveals the most common spots to add padding. Not every project needs it, but some introduce more risk than others. Use your data to price that risk transparently rather than absorb it. 

Use CPQs

Trying to manage spreadsheets and data tables manually can be overwhelming. It’s easier when you can automatically incorporate project data into the software. Some cost-price-quote platforms can pull data from your delivery software to adjust your estimate templates. 

How to perform useful project retrospectives

A retrospective is a time to review and learn from projects when the information is fresh on everyone’s mind, ensuring takeaways get incorporated into improvements for next time. Many companies skip this step, relegating it to the background alongside ongoing projects, but this shortsightedness forfeits the opportunity for improvement. 

When conducting a retrospective, make sure to discuss estimation quality, not just delivery quality. Ask questions like: 

  • Where did we underestimate effort and why? 
  • Which assumptions were incorrect? 
  • Was the timeline accurate, or where did it deviate and why?
  • Any technical surprises encountered?
  • What should be standardized next time? 

Standardize how you document these insights. Then take those insights and update templates, create new scoping questions, and revise effort ranges. After all, if a retrospective doesn’t change how the next project is scoped, they’re just meetings. 

Making data-driven scoping repeatable

One improved estimate is nice, but ultimately not a game-changer. However, a systematic approach that automatically improves all future estimates can make a transformative difference on operational efficiency and long-term productivity. 

A repeatable data-driven scoping process starts in sales. Before the sales team sends a quote to the client, review comparable historical projects to identify trends to incorporate into the new estimate. You can add this task to a scoping checklist to ensure the estimation team reviews key data points, such as variance and blockers. 

Using standardized level-of-effort breakdowns makes it easier to compare historical data. As you track your prediction accuracy over time, you should see your variance rates tighten and your project estimates improve. This requires a consistent feedback loop, but the effort necessary diminishes over time as your project data improves your estimates and leaves less to correct.  

Where ScopeStack fits into data-driven scoping 

Many IT solutions providers struggle to use historical data because manually maintaining it is nearly impossible when juggling client delivery, sales cycles, and daily operations. You need intuitive software that does the heavy lifting for you. 

ScopeStack is designed to help service providers operationalize and maximize historical project data, not just store it in untouched archives. 

  • Standardized scoping templates: ScopeStack makes past projects comparable by scoping work through consistent templates, component blocks, and predetermined level-of-effort estimates. 
  • Repeatable processes: Teams can build from proven scopes that reflect real delivery outcomes. New team members benefit from leveraging the same historical insights that veterans rely on. 
  • Single source of truth: ScopeStack integrates with your PSA and ticketing platforms. Updates to a scope will be reflected in ScopeStack, and vice versa. Your team always works with the most up-to-date data, making future estimates more accurate. 
  • Lower lift for accurate estimates: Because historical effort is automatically embedded in the scoping process, estimates improve without adding pre-sales overhead. 

The result is faster, more precise estimates that actually reflect your delivery reality, not aspirational timelines. Ultimately, historical data is only helpful if you use it effectively and strategically. When historical insights are analyzed and incorporated into your process, every new project becomes easier to estimate.

You might also like: